2019 Heisman Odds Tracker: Burrow the New Favorite Following Tua Injury

Oct 21, 2019 05:20 PM EDT
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Chuck Cook-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Joe Burrow

  • Tua Tagovailoa's Heisman stock has taken a significant hit following his ankle injury in Week 8.
  • Joe Burrow is now the favorite at 6/5, followed closely by Jalen Hurts (7/5).

An ankle injury to Tua Tagovailoa in the second quarter of Saturday’s game against Tennessee kept the Heisman favorite out for the entire second half. It was later announced that he’d miss a week or two, and as such, is no longer the favorite to win the award.

That title now belongs to LSU quarterback Joe Burrow, who’s been chasing Tua from a distance for the whole season. Right on Burrow’s tail, though, is Jalen Hurts, and with both at plus-money, no player is being given more than a 50% chance to win.

As for Tua, he’s certainly not out of the race. His +350 odds are still ranked third, and give him a 22.22% implied chance.


Odds as of Monday at 5 p.m. ET. Check out PointsBet, where Action Network users get an exclusive 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).


2019 Heisman Odds Tracker

Odds as of Oct. 21 via Westgate SuperBook. Click “Implied Probability” to sort.

Biggest Heisman Movers, Preseason

Several players have seen their odds improve throughout the summer — mainly quarterbacks.

  • Joe Burrow, LSU QB (200/1 to 40/1)
  • Jake Fromm, UGA QB (40/1 to 18/1)
  • Khalil Tate, Arizona QB (100/1 to 40/1)
  • Sam Ehlinger, Texas QB (40/1 to 20/1)

In accompanying moves, Westgate moved several quarterbacks toward the top of the board down. These are still three of the top five betting choices on the board, though.

A handful of skill position players also saw their odds fall.

  • Justin Fields, Ohio State QB (6/1 to 12/1)
  • Adrian Martinez, Nebraska QB (6/1 to 10/1)
  • Jalen Hurts, Oklahoma QB (6/1 to 12/1)
  • Jerry Jeudy, Alabama WR (30/1 to 80/1)
  • Jonathan Taylor, Wisconsin RB (15/1 to 25/1)

Who Can Win the Heisman?

Well, anyone can win the Heisman. But there are a few key qualifications you should have. We wrote about them last year and Collin Wilson gave out some of his favorite bets for this year.

Be a quarterback or running back

You should really be a quarterback, though. A signal caller has won every Heisman Trophy but five since 1998, and only three since 2000.

Play at a Power 5 school

In the BCS/College Football Playoff era (since 1998), no Group of 5 player (MAC, AAC, Sun Belt, Mountain West, Conference USA currently) has won it.

Win 9 games, but hopefully more

In the BCS/CFP era, only one Heisman winner has won fewer than nine games, and that was Ricky Williams in 1998 on an 8-3 Texas team. Oh, and he set the NCAA record for rushing yards.

Only three Heisman winners since 1998 won fewer than 10.

Put up an eye-popping statistical profile

Yards per play and other efficiency metrics aren’t counted here. It’s about raw, eye-popping statistical numbers.

Heisman Betting History

SportsOddsHistory.com has data going back to 2009, when Mark Ingram took home the Heisman.

Many players didn’t have odds listed preseason because they came out of nowhere — Jameis Winston and Johnny Manziel among them.

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