Super Bowl 54 Odds Tracker: Saints Emerging as Significant Conference Favorites

Oct 22, 2019 12:00 PM EDT
Credit:

Mike DiNovo-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Vonn Bell

  • The Saints are now in a league of their own in the NFC, listed at +550 to win Super Bowl 54.
  • The Patriots still remain heavy favorites at +260 following Week 7.

Prior to the year, a Patriots vs. Saints Super Bowl matchup was probably among the most — if not the most — common prediction from NFL fans. I mean, the Saints should have been the Pats’ opponent last year if not for some blown call that no one ever talks about.

In any case, when Drew Brees went down with an injury a few weeks back, I’d be willing to guess that most casual fans hopped off that Saints wagon, as at that point simply making the playoffs seemed like a decent-sized hurdle.

Those fans have certainly jumped back on by now, though, as has the futures betting market.

Following Week 7, the Saints are the clear second-most likely Super Bowl winner, coming in at +550. That puts them in somewhat of their own tier, as they’re still far behind the Patriots (+260), but also significantly ahead of the Packers, Chiefs and 49ers (+1000 each).

The latter difference is also represented by a drop-off of +260 to +450 (Green Bay) in the NFC Championship market.

And following those three at 10-1 comes another three-way tie, with the Ravens, Cowboys and Vikings all listed at +1600.


Odds as of Oct. 22 at 12 p.m. ET and via PointsBet, where Action Network users can access an exclusive promotion to get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).


Click on the date to sort.

Super Bowl 54 Odds Tracker

Preseason Notes

  • The Colts’ chances of winning the Super Bowl were decimated following the Andrew Luck retirement news. They had initially been a trendy choice, moving from +2000 to +1000, but have since dropped back to +8000.
  • The Rams’ implied odds have dropped the second most in the league since they opened at +600 back in January. Now at +1400, their chances have fallen from 14.3% to 6.7% in the eyes of the oddsmakers.
  • The Jaguars made a big jump from +6000 to +2500 thanks to Luck’s retirement. Along with the Raiders (+8000 to +4000), they are one of the biggest movers among longshots.

Super Bowl Betting History

In this century, there have been just three teams with longer than 22-1 preseason odds: the 2001 Patriots (+6000), the 2007 Giants (+3000) and the 2017 Eagles (+4000). Five of the past six winners have entered the season with shorter than 10-1 odds.

Historical odds via sportsoddshistory.com

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